Population
Growth and Migration
It
was hard just to feed, clothe, and shelter a family in seventeenth-century
Connecticut, and knowing where you were and how good your chances
were of going to heaven gave everyone enough to worry about. Nobody
stopped to count how many there were. It’s not surprising, then,
that we don’t really know how many people lived in Connecticut
in the colonial era. There are some censuses for the eighteenth
century, though, and Jackson Turner Main has said that Connecticut
has the best archival sources for demographic analysis of all
the English colonies in America.
For
general surveys of the topic, see
Cassedy,
James H. Demography in Early America: The Beginnings of the
Statistical Mind, 1600-1800. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University
Press, 1968.
Greven,
Philip J., Jr. “Historical Demography and Colonial America.” William
and Mary Quarterly. 3rd series 24(July, 1967)3:438-54.
Smith,
Daniel Scott. “The Demographic History of Colonial New England.”
Journal of Economic History 32(1972): 165-83.
Swedlund,
A., et al. “Population Studies in the Connecticut Valley: A Prospectus.”
Journal of Human Evolution 5(January, 1976): 75-94.
Temkin-Greener,
H., and Swedlund, A. C. “Fertility Transition in the Connecticut
Valley: 1740-1850.” Population Studies 32(1978).
See
also Wells, cited immediately below.
From
time to time the Board of Trade in London asked all colonial governments
to submit reports on their local laws, economy, and population.
Connecticut, always insecure about its liberal charter and afraid
that its self-government might be curtailed, tried to keep a low
profile by minimizing its economic activity and its population.
The official figures sent in by dissembling governors can be found
in Evarts B. Greene and
Virginia
D. Harrington, American Population before the Federal Census
of 1790 (New York: Columbia University Press, 1932; repr.
Gloucester, Mass.: Peter Smith, 1966); and Robert Wells, The
Population of the British Colonies in America Before 1776: A Survey
of Census Data (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1976).
Historians
have long distrusted these official figures, and recently Bruce
Daniels, in Chapter 2 of The Connecticut Town (Middletown:
Wesleyan University Press, 1979), developed convincing demographic
data that supports historians’ skepticism. His system proves fairly
accurate: a census report of which he was unaware shows his interpolated
figure for 1760 to be less than 1 percent below the actual figure
for 1762. For an alternate method of figuring colonial populations,
see Dennis G. Wright, “Demographic Techniques for Small Human
Populations: An Examination of Several Communities from Early
Connecticut, 1633-1848.” (Doctoral dissertation. University of
Connecticut, 1980) Wright focuses on Windsor, Litchfield, Mansfield,
and New London in the period before 1850 and works with fertility
and mortality rates. “Reproductive potential and biological state
were lowest in New London. Mansfield had the lowest depletion
of potential fertility. Selection intensity was highest in New
London .... An inverse relation was noted for the indicies of
biological state and selection intensity.” (from the abstract)
If you don’t understand that any better than we do, maybe you
will be interested to know, at least, that most marriages occurred
in the late fall and early winter and that most children were
born in February, March, and April.
For
the period before 1790 there were four censuses that historians
consider reliable. Three of them—those for 1756, 1774, and 1782—are
published in Greene and in Wells, both cited above, and, of course,
in the Public Records of the Colony. The fourth, that for
1762, was discovered in 1977 and published with commentary by
Christopher P. Bickford as “The Lost Connecticut Census of 1762
Found,” in CHS Bulletin 44(April, 1979)2:33-43.
Other
sources of population data for the period before the first Federal
census:
Friis,
Herman R. “A Series of Population Maps of the Colonies and the
United States, 1625-1790.” Geographical Review 30(July,
1940):463-70.
McManis,
Douglas R. Colonial New England: A Historical Geography.
New York: Oxford University Press, 1975.
Olson,
Albert Lavern. Agricultural Economy and the Population in Eighteenth-Century
Connecticut. Tercentenary pamphlet XL.
Thompson,
Warren S., and Whelpton, P. K. Population Trends in the United
States. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1933. Puts Connecticut since
its founding in an American context.
Town-by-town
population figures since 1790 are printed in the annual editions
of the Connecticut State Register and Manual, annotated
elsewhere. Two or three years after each dicennial tally the
United States Bureau of the Census publishes a volume, Detailed
Characteristics, for each state. It is a huge tome, full of
information not only about population but also about economic,
ethnic, educational, occupational, and other characteristics
of the people of the state. The first federal census was a crude
matter compared with recent ones, but it did list the name of
every head-of-household, with the race, sex, and age by categories
of the household members. The volume for Connecticut has been
published as Heads of Families at the First Census of the United
States Taken in the Year 1790 (Baltimore: Genealogical Publishing
Company, 1966). The federal censuses for 1800 to 1850 have been
indexed by heads of families in Connecticut Census Index,
Ronald R. Jackson and Gary R. Teeples, compilers (Salt Lake City:
Excellorated Index Service, 1977). There is a separate volume
for each of the dicennial reports.
The
Connecticut Development Commission published A Demographic
Analysis of Connecticut, 1790-2000 as Technical Report no.
131 (November, 1962), a highly technical study focused on the
twentieth century. Ronald LaVoie, Peter Judd, and Robert Silva
compiled A Graphic Presentation of Population Data, State of
Connecticut by County and Town, 1790-1970 (Hartford: Northeast
Utilities Service Co., 1976). This work consists of bar graphs—no
maps—showing the population increase for every town at ten-year
intervals. It also shows densities, but fails to explain that
new towns were often set off from old towns, so that some very
odd changes appear to have occurred. The Storrs Agricultural Experiment
Station has published numerous population studies of the recent
decades, such as W. H. Groff and J. C. Reiser, “The Population
of Connecticut: A Decade of Change, 1960-1970,” Bulletin
no. 422 (1973). Students of the very recent past will want to
look these up. Try your card catalog in the author section under
“Storrs” or “Connecticut” or the subject section under “Connecticut
Population.”
See
also
Allen,
Irving L.; Culfax, J. David; and Stetler, Henry G. “Metropolitan
Connecticut: A Demographic Profile.” Connecticut Urban Research
Reports No. 8. Storrs:
Institute
of Urban Research, 1965. See Lowe, below.
Bidwell,
Percy Wells. “Population Growth in Southern New England, 1810-1860.”
Quarterly Publications of the American Statistical Society
13(December, 1917) :813-39. Includes charts showing relative increases
by states.
Crandall,
Ralph J. “New England’s Second Great Migration: The First Three
Generations of Settlement, 1630-1700.” New England Historical
and Genealogical Register 129(October, 1925).
Fuller,
Grace Pierpont. An Introduction to the History of Connecticut
as a Manufacturing State. Smith College Studies in History.
Northampton, Mass.: Smith College, 1915. Fuller develops population
figures relevant to the demonstration of Connecticut’s nineteenth-century
urbanization.
Holbrook,
Stewart H. The Yankee Exodus: An Account of Migration From
New England. Seattle: University of Washington Press, 1950.
Lowe,
Robert A. “Metropolitan Connecticut: A 1970 Demographic Profile.”
Connecticut Urban Research Report No. 23. Storrs: Institute
of Urban Research, 1973. A revision of the 1965 work and of a
similar work done by Lowe in 1960. The focus is on SMAS’s and
analyses of United States Census data. Mostly tables.
Matthews, Lois K. Expansion of New England.
Boston: Houghton-Mifflin, 1909.
Morrow,
Rising Lake. Connecticut Influences in Western Massachusetts
and Vermont. Tercentenary pamphlet XLIII (1935). Morrow wrote
a dissertation (Harvard, 1932) on which this work was based.
Rosenberry,
Lois K. M. Migrations from Connecticut Prior to 1800. Tercentenary
pamphlet XXVIII (1934)
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